Full Article: PDF
Scientific Object Identifier: http://s-o-i.org/1.1/TAS-09-101-57
DOI: https://dx.doi.org/10.15863/TAS.2021.09.101.57
Language: Russian
Citation: Zhanatauov, S. U. (2021). Cognitive model of climate variability and of negative variability impacts for human activities. ISJ Theoretical & Applied Science, 09 (101), 501-516. Soi: http://s-o-i.org/1.1/TAS-09-101-57 Doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.15863/TAS.2021.09.101.57 |
Pages: 501-516
Published: 30.09.2021
Abstract: A cognitive model of climate variability and variability of negative consequences for human economic activity has been developed. The initial data are phrases of the meanings of 4 indicators of climate change (fluctuations in precipitation levels, etc.) and 5 negative indicators (the degree of environmental damage, etc.) of consequences for human activity. The consequences are expressed in the form of negative natural and environmental manifestations that negatively affect the activities of people united in large companies. A system of 4 semantic multidimensional equations of meanings (variability of z-variables and variability of y-variables) is obtained, transmitting the meanings of valid (calculated) and measured (modeled) z-variables introduced (for the cognitive model), forming (when solving the OZ) a cognitive model corresponding to its mathematical model.An example of numerical modeling of the values of variability of climate indicators and negative indicators of human activity gave adequate results. Visual graphic illustrations of the dynamics of the values of 5+4=9 model indicators (Figures 1-8) show their adequacy to real connections in the system "climate change - natural and economic consequences".
Key words: cognitive model of climate changes, human, economic activity.
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