Pages: 213-217
Published: 30.04.2018
Abstract: The article discusses the possibility of estimating the phenomenon of forecasting as a socio-psychological technology for manipulating the future, rather than predicting the future. An interpretation of the Duhem-Quine thesis was carried out in the context of a forecast study. It is noted that the forecast itself may be the statement that should not be refuted. This can lead to the activation of a cognitive error, such as a propensity for confirmation. It is asserted that humanity can quite relate to the social forecast, as to psychological manipulation.
Key words: actor-network theory, cognitive errors, public consciousness, forecasting, system approach, Duhem-Quine thesis, binding effect, expectation effect.
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